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Let your team bet on the business
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Let your team bet on the business

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Product July 3, 20261 min read

Let your team bet on the business

Your staff know things your dashboard does not. Team Bets turns that knowledge into a prediction market: everyone bets on next week, the leaderboard shows who reads the business best, and you find out which quiet person on the rota is your sharpest analyst.

Aditi K Agarwal

Aditi K Agarwal

Co-Founder & COO, Kauzio

Ask a floor manager whether Saturday will beat last Saturday and you will get a better answer than most forecasting software. They saw the bookings come in. They noticed the weather. They know the regulars are back from holiday.

The problem is that this knowledge lives in heads and dies in shift handovers. Nobody writes it down, nobody scores it, and the person who is consistently right gets exactly the same say as the person who is consistently wrong.

Team Bets fixes the scoring.

How it works

Kauzio generates markets from your real data. Will revenue beat this number next week? Will the top product hold its place? Will the stockout alert clear? Your team bets yes or no. When the week closes, Kauzio resolves the market from actual results — no arguments, the till decides.

The leaderboard does the rest. Over a month you learn something most owners never find out: who actually reads the business best. It is rarely who you expect.

Why bother

Three reasons. First, engagement: staff who bet on the numbers start watching the numbers, and staff who watch numbers behave differently on the floor. Second, forecasting: a team of five who see the shop daily beat most models when you aggregate their honest guesses — this is the oldest finding in prediction market research, applied to a corner shop. Third, hiring and promotion: when the quietest person on the rota tops the leaderboard three months straight, you have learned something about them a CV never shows.

The rules that matter

Keep stakes symbolic — pride and a leaderboard, not money. Resolve only from data, never from opinion. And let people see the reasoning of past winners: the point is not gambling, it is surfacing judgement.

Team Bets ships in Pulse on Scale plans, under Team. Your dashboard tells you what happened. Your team, it turns out, can tell you what happens next.

#team#prediction markets#product

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